fox files

Universe 25 was not a fable about rodents; it was a behavioral model of what happens when structure, hierarchy, and purpose are replaced by unlimited external provisioning. Dr. John Calhoun observed that when mice lived in a habitat where every material need was met automatically, their social roles collapsed. Male withdrawal, weakened parental investment, falling fertility, and eventually a complete demographic crash followed. It is tempting to think humans would behave differently, but the striking parallels to what happened under LBJ’s Great Society suggest otherwise. This claim seems bold at first glance. Yet careful reflection shows it to be tragically plausible.

To understand the parallel, we must first remind ourselves what Calhoun found. Universe 25 provided abundance without effort. Food appeared without foraging. Shelter required no construction. Predators were removed. At first, the population expanded rapidly. Then something surprising occurred. As resources remained stable, the social structure atrophied. Dominant males withdrew or fixated on repetitive, self-soothing behavior. Females stopped caring for offspring. Infanticide increased. Fertility collapsed. Eventually, the final generation, the so-called “Beautiful Ones,” ceased to reproduce, withdrew from contact, and spent their days grooming or eating in isolation. Abundance without purpose created behavioral degradation so deep that the population could not recover even when conditions remained materially perfect.

If this seems remote from human affairs, consider what Black Americans had achieved before Washington intervened. Despite the severe constraints imposed by segregation, Black families were intact and resilient. More than 85% of Black children were born to married parents in the early 1960s, an astonishing rate for any urban poor population. Poverty existed, but social cohesion was strong. Churches, fraternal organizations, and family networks created structure and responsibility. There was purpose, and there were roles. These institutions helped people navigate unjust external conditions and provided the scaffolding for upward mobility.

Then the Great Society arrived. Washington attempted to replace family, church, and community with federal programs. The intent was compassionate. Yet intent does not override human nature. Welfare incentives rewarded the absence of fathers. Public assistance replaced the reciprocal obligations that had sustained families. The cultural norm that linked marriage, sex, and child rearing was severed. The numbers show how quickly the damage spread. Prior to 1965 fewer than 2% of black women received any form of public assistance. By 1970 roughly 36% did. An eighteen-fold increase in five years reveals not gradual social evolution but a policy driven shock.

Fertility followed a similar arc. In 1965 the General Fertility Rate for black women ages 15 to 44 stood at 140.3 births per 1,000 women. By 1970 it had fallen to 123.5. Today it has collapsed to 45.8. A two thirds decline in sixty years is not an ordinary demographic adjustment. It is the signature of a community losing its social structure. Calhoun observed that once parental roles erode, fertility does not rebound simply because material conditions are comfortable. The behavioral patterns produced by disrupted roles persist across generations. In short, once the social fabric tears, later generations cannot easily repair it.

The expansion of SNAP reinforced the pattern. Food stamps did not reach every county until 1974. Yet by 1980 roughly 35% of black households used them. Today that figure is 52%. More than half of black households now rely on a federal provisioning system to meet basic nutritional needs. Calhoun found that abundant food provided without effort weakened social behaviors related to care, discipline, and responsibility. We see a disturbing parallel. Federal provisioning was meant to provide relief. Instead, it displaced the social norms that sustain families.

The collapse of marriage tells the same story. In 1965 over 85% of black children were born to married parents. By 1970 fewer than 63% were. By 1980 that figure had fallen below 50%. Today it sits below 30%. No developed society has ever seen such a fast decline in marriage without accompanying social dysfunction. When marriage collapses, so does the structure that teaches children discipline, reciprocity, and responsibility. Calhoun would not have been surprised by these outcomes. When a system replaces organic roles with external provisioning, social roles dissolve.

Some readers may resist this interpretation. Perhaps they believe social structures collapsed because of lingering discrimination or economic shocks. These factors matter, but they cannot explain the timing. The most dramatic changes occurred precisely when Great Society programs expanded. Nor can they explain why black families remained stable during far harsher periods before the 1960s. When we look at the causal chain, the policies come first, followed by the collapse in marriage, the surge in welfare use, the decline in fertility, and the rise of multi-generational dependency.

Consider Calhoun’s central insight. A system that removes incentives for productive behavior while failing to reinforce social norms does not create flourishing. It creates a behavioral sink. In Universe 25 the sink emerged not because conditions were harsh but because they were artificially easy. The mice did not need each other, so they stopped forming healthy bonds. They did not need to protect or nurture, so parental roles decayed. They did not need to cooperate, so hierarchy collapsed. What remained was isolation, withdrawal, and the slow erosion of purpose.

Translate this into human social terms. When the state displaces fathers, fathers withdraw. When bureaucracies replace parental responsibility with monthly checks, parental investment declines. When food appears without effort, the link between work and provision breaks. When norms collapse, marriage becomes optional, then rare. The social ecosystem enters a downward spiral. This is precisely what happened in many black communities after the 1960s. The Great Society redistributed material goods while undermining the structures that gave life meaning.

Why does this matter today? Because Democrats still treat the Great Society as an untouchable legacy. They defend it with quasi-religious devotion. Their attachment persists even as the data show catastrophic outcomes. If the goal was to alleviate poverty, they failed. If the goal was to strengthen families, they failed. If the goal was to promote flourishing, they failed. And yet they demand more of the same policies. Calhoun would call this expansion of provisioning a deepening of the behavioral sink.

A reasonable reader might now ask how we should respond. We begin by recovering the insight that material assistance without social norms destroys the very communities it claims to help. Next, we must restore the institutions that originally sustained black families. Churches, civic groups, and strong families cannot be replaced by bureaucracies. Finally, we must ask why a political movement insists on maintaining policies that corrode family life. How do we save America if our policies are designed to destroy the structures that make America possible?

The lesson of Universe 25 is sobering. When abundance is provided without structure, communities decline. The Great Society followed the same script. Calhoun’s experiment warned us. We ignored it. We still have time to reverse course, but doing so requires the courage to admit that our social experiment failed and that the path to renewal runs through responsibility, not dependency.